August 30, 2020 | News | No Comments
Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE holds a double-digit lead against his closest rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination.
But there are signs Biden’s support may be slipping, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey released exclusively to The Hill.
The poll showed Biden with 28 percent support among registered Democratic voters, a 4-point drop since last month when a similar survey showed him at 32 percent. He’s trailed by Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) and Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.), who registered 17 percent and 16 percent, respectively.
No other candidate registered double digits. Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.), the fourth-place finisher in the poll, notched 6 percent, while three other candidates, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) and entrepreneur Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE, tied for fifth place with 3 percent each.
Only three others, former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants Black lawmakers unveil bill to remove Confederate statues from Capitol Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-N.J.) and billionaire philanthropist Tom SteyerTom SteyerBloomberg wages war on COVID-19, but will he abandon his war on coal? Overnight Energy: 600K clean energy jobs lost during pandemic, report finds | Democrats target diseases spread by wildlife | Energy Dept. to buy 1M barrels of oil Ocasio-Cortez, Schiff team up to boost youth voter turnout MORE, registered above 1 percent in the poll, taking 2 percent support each.
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 693 registered Democratic voters from Sept. 22-24, and does not report a margin of error.
While Biden still leads in the poll, there were positive signs for Warren, who gained 4 points since a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey conducted last month. The Massachusetts senator saw her support among black voters, a key Democratic voting bloc, more than double, ticking up from 6 percent in August to 13 percent at the end of September.
She also saw a 6-point gain among white voters, jumping from 15 percent in August to 21 percent in September, the poll shows. Biden, meanwhile, lost 10 points among white voters, falling from 35 percent last month to 25 percent now.
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“We confirm that Biden is holding on, but Warren is surging as she develops a national following within the primary electorate,” Mark PennMark PennThe Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in new poll Biden leads Trump by 6 points as voters sour on pandemic response: poll Poll: Two-thirds of voters say the economy is on the wrong track MORE, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, said. “The Sanders campaign could be in real trouble if they do not stem the tide soon.”
The poll follows on the heels of a slew of other surveys showing Warren taking the lead from Biden. A Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll released last weekend showed her at 22 percent support, edging out Biden at 20 percent. And a Monmouth University poll found her leading Biden in New Hampshire, 27 percent to 25 percent.
Likewise, a Quinnipiac University national poll released on Wednesday showed Warren leading the pack with 27 percent support. Biden came in second place in that survey, with 25 percent support.
Still, the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey released on Thursday showed that a plurality of voters — 34 percent — perceive Biden as the candidate with the best chance of defeating President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in 2020. Sanders and Warren are statistically tied for second place on that front, scoring 12 percent and 11 percent, respectively.
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 693 registered Democratic voters from Sept. 22-24. The poll is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and The Harris Poll. The Hill will be working with Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll throughout 2019.
Full poll results will be posted online later this week. The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.